Kenya will experience mostly sunny and dry conditions this week, punctuated by rainfall in select regions, according to the Meteorological Department.
Hot daytime temperatures above 30°C and cool nights below 10°C are expected, reflecting sharp contrasts across the country’s varied climate zones.
In its weekly outlook covering February 10 to 16, 2026, the department said mostly sunny and dry conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
However, it cautioned that rainfall is still likely in some areas, particularly the Central Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the South-eastern Lowlands, and Western Kenya.
The forecast highlights a familiar mid-season pattern, with large parts of the country remaining dry while localized rainfall persists in traditionally wetter regions.
For farmers and water managers, the uneven distribution of rainfall may have implications for crop performance and water availability, particularly in areas that depend on consistent precipitation.
Alongside the dry conditions, Kenyans are being advised to prepare for high daytime temperatures.
The department warned that daytime (maximum) temperatures above 30°C are expected in several parts of the country, including the Coast, South-eastern Lowlands, North-eastern, and North-western Kenya.
These hot conditions are expected to intensify heat stress, especially in arid and semi-arid regions, where prolonged exposure to high temperatures can affect health, livestock, and productivity.
Urban areas along the Coast and in lowland regions may also experience discomfort during peak afternoon hours.
In contrast to the hot days, the Meteorological Department said some regions will experience significantly cooler nights.
“Night-time (minimum) temperatures below 10°C are expected,” particularly in “parts of the Central Highlands, the Central Rift Valley, Western Kenya, and areas near Mt. Kilimanjaro.”
The sharp contrast between daytime and night-time temperatures is typical of high-altitude regions, but temperatures dropping below 10°C can still pose challenges, especially for vulnerable populations and small-scale farmers. Cold nights may also affect certain crops and increase the risk of respiratory illnesses.
The forecast comes against the backdrop of a relatively calm weather week earlier in February.
In its weather review for February 2 to 8, 2026, the department reported that rainfall was “recorded in a few parts of the country, mainly over the Central Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, and Western Kenya.”
It noted a slight increase in rainfall in the Lake Victoria Basin, an area that often experiences localized showers due to lake-induced weather systems.
The highest 24-hour rainfall during the review period was 48.2 mm at Suba Meteorological Station, Homabay County, on February 7, 2026, indicating moderate but not extreme rainfall levels.
Temperature extremes were also recorded during the review period, reaffirming the country’s climatic contrasts.
The department said the highest daily maximum temperature was 38.2°C at Lodwar Meteorological Station on February 5, 2026, reflecting intense heat conditions in north-western Kenya.
At the other end of the scale, the lowest daily minimum temperature was 6.4°C at Nyahururu Meteorological Station on February 3, 2026, highlighting how cold nights can become in highland areas, even as other regions endure scorching heat.
The latest forecast reinforces the need for Kenyans to stay alert to local weather conditions, particularly those in regions expected to receive rainfall or experience temperature extremes.
While the overall outlook suggests stable weather for much of the country, the combination of heat, cold nights and isolated rainfall reflects Kenya’s complex and varied climate.
As mid-February unfolds, the Meteorological Department’s guidance offers a reminder that even during mostly dry periods, significant regional differences can shape daily life, agriculture and health across the country.
